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The Long Bond Argues Back

Yesterday's page followed the semiconductor complex down onto its April trendline and back off it; day one went to the bounce, and Nvidia reports tonight as that test's referee.

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Thomas Look
Aug 26, 2026
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Today the tape hands this diary a different line to read, drawn in the part of the market the consensus has been calling dead money all year: the long end of the Treasury curve.

The setting matters, because the read that follows runs against it. The dominant story on rates has been supply and deficits — the same pressure this diary’s own Sovereign Pressu…

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